Wednesday, September 25, 2013

What's Wrong with Pakistan's Test Team?

I think rather than wondering how the hell Pakistan lost a test match to Zimbabwe, we should be praising Younis Khan for ensuring that Pakistan came out of the series with a 1-1 draw instead of a 2-0 loss, which was sure to happen had Younis not come out with a scintillating double hundred.

Losing to Zimbabwe in any form of the game is embarrassing for a top cricket nation. But losing to them in a test match is worse than that. The players should find it difficult to show their faces in public. They should find it difficult to speak to the media. They should be at a loss for words. They should feel humiliated.

The upcoming series against South Africa brings this Pakistan test team full circle since Misbah took over in 2010. Misbah's first series as test captain was against South Africa in the UAE in November 2010.

During his first 18 months as test captain, Pakistan did not lose a single test series. In fact in the 15 tests they played between November 2010 and February 2012, Pakistan lost only 1!

Under Misbah, Pakistan's test team had an enviable test record - Played 15, won 9, lost 1.

They won test series against England, Sri Lanka, New Zealand, Zimbabwe, and Bangladesh and drew them against South Africa and the West Indies.

The pinnacle of this period was the clean sweep over the number 1 ranked test nation - England, which helped Pakistan rise to number 4 in the test rankings. Their highest test ranking for a decade.

And then suddenly something went horribly wrong.

Since clean sweeping England, Pakistan have not won any test series. They lost 1-0 to Sri Lanka, were embarrassed 3-0 by South Africa, and humiliated in a 1-1 draw with Zimbabwe, which could have easily been a 2-0 loss.

In the 18 months since the win over England, Pakistan has played 8 tests under Misbah, winning only 1 of them, that too against Zimbabwe.

While Misbah's overall test record is still pretty good - Played 23, Won 10, Lost 6 - his W:L ratio has gone down from a record 9:1 to 5:3.

So what went wrong? When did Pakistan become such a bad test team? The same set of players clean swept England. The same set of players helped Pakistan reach number 4 in the test rankings. What has gone wrong?

Pakistan's Test XI against South Africa in 2010 was Hafeez, Taufeeq, Azhar, Younis, Misbah, Asad, Adnan, Rehman, Gul, Wahab, Ajmal.

Pakistan's Test XI against Zimbabwe in 2013 was Hafeez, Khurram, Azhar, Younis, Misbah, Asad, Adnan, Rehman, Ajmal, Junaid, Rahat

Besides an opener and two pacers, Pakistan's test team is exactly what it was three years ago.

In all the test series during the past three years, Pakistan has been consistent with its test team selections. There has been no chopping and changing.

Yet, a winning pattern has changed into a losing one.

Why?

If you take a look at the overall performance of the batsmen during the three years that Misbah has been in charge, it actually shows that they have been quite solid.


I do not think that Pakistan has ever had a top 6 that has been as consistent as this one. Pull out the batsmen averages for any 3 year period, I doubt that any 6 will have given a better cumulative performance over a sustained period.

The bowling has been spearheaded by the world's bets spinner, Saeed Ajmal; and his supporting cast been quite strong.


However, there is a stark contrast between the performance of the players in the first 18 months of Misbah's test captaincy and that in the next 18 months.

The dip in performance of the batsmen is significant.


While three of Pakistan's batsmen averaged above 50, with two averaging well above 60, between November 2010 and February 2012, none of them averaged above 50 during the period between March 2012 and September 2013.

There is a clear dip in form of Azhar Ali, who stood like a rock at number 3 during the first half of Misbah's captaincy tenure. While Younis Khan has continued to be a dominating force even in the latter period, there is a big difference from his superlative performance during the initial period. Much like Misbah.

There are two clear reasons for this drop in performance levels.

Out of the 15 tests in the initial period, Pakistan played 8 of them in the UAE, which even though is not home for the batsman, it is somewhat home and favorable batting conditions. Additionally, out of the 7 away tests in this period, 3 were in Bangladesh and Zimbabwe.

Over the next period, Pakistan played all of the 8 tests in testing foreign conditions of Sri Lanka, South Africa, and Zimbabwe.

Not playing at "home" has not helped Pakistan's test batsman and they have not been able to translate their super home surface success in foreign conditions.

The other reason is scheduling ofcourse.

While Pakistan played 15 tests in 16 months between November 2010 and February 2012, they played only 8 test over the next 19 months!

Cricket is a rhythm game; the more flow you are in and the better you play. There was a gap of 4 months between Pakistan's successful test series against England and their next test series against Sri Lanka.

Additionally, there was an elongated gap of 8 months between that series and their next test series against South Africa, earlier this year.

Then they waited another 6 months to play tests against Zimbabwe.

Such scheduling helps no one. You can blame the ICC or other cricket boards all you want for not giving Pakistan a good schedule as per the FTP, but the only one to hold accountable for this is the PCB.

I understand that Pakistan cricket is suffering because they can't host any team in their own country, but that does not mean that the administrators cannot lobby with other boards to arrange more tours. Especially when the board has witnessed a rise in the team's test performance.

Players like Azhar Ali, who only play test cricket, suffer even more as they are kept away from international cricket for long periods of time. Azhar has been a pillar for Pakistan in tests and a key component of their success in the earlier part of Misbah's captaincy tenure; however he failed miserably in the series against Zimbabwe.

Can you really blame him? He played no cricket at all besides some meaningless domestic ODI games between March and August of this year.

Only the PCB is to be blamed for that.

The fans will continue to cry and complain about Misbah's captaincy, Hafeez' non-performance as an opener, the lack of flair of Azhar Ali and Asad Shafiq.

But the truth of the matter is that Pakistan cricket is suffering the most because it is not playing enough. It is not touring enough.

Pakistan can't host cricket at home, which effects the amount of revenues the board can generate. That impacts the number of development tours that an Under-19 team or a Pakistan A team can make to gain experience of foreign conditions. A lack of international cricket at home means that players wait for long periods between tours making them lose their flow.

A greater reliance is put on ODIs to generate funds, which impacts the number of tests Pakistan plays. This has impacted players like Aamir Sohail and Mohammad Yousuf in the past, and now it is impacting the careers of batsmen like Azhar Ali and Taufeeq Umar.

Amir Sohail once hit 205 in a test against England at Old Trafford. The commentators likened him to the great Sir Viv Richards. After that series, Pakistan did not play a test for another 6 months.

Mohammad Yousuf hit the most runs in a calendar year in the history of test cricket in 2006. He played only 6 tests over the next 30 months!

So yes while a defeat against Zimbabwe is sad and embarrassing and humiliating, the players are really not at as much fault as it is being portrayed.

The board, the domestic structure, the international isolation of the country are big reasons for our downfall. The fact that we even manage to win in these times is an achievement.

Hopefully the upcoming tours at "home" in the UAE will bring some smiles back on the faces of Pakistan cricket fans.

Make your pitch on this post...



Labels: , , , , , , ,


Tuesday, September 24, 2013

Boyd 10/1 to be top Rankin bowler

BOYD RANKIN is just 5/2 to play in the first Ashes test according to Ladbrokes.
As the former Ireland player is confirmed as a member of  the series squad, the bookies give him a far better chance of making a first test appearance than the recalled Monty Panesar, who is 10/1 to play. Rankin is a 10/1 chance in the top England wicket-taker market leaving Panesar as the 25/1 outsider with Jimmy Anderson (2/1) and Stuart Broad (9/4) favourite and second-favourite respectively. 

England are the 6/4 favourites for the first test with evens the price they win the series, leaving them as odds-on (1/2) favourite to retain the Ashes. It's 33/1 the away side complete a 5-0 whitewash with 50/1 the price the home team pull off the feat. 

Alex Donohue of Ladbrokes said: "We're keen to keep Rankin on our side when it comes to top England series wicket-taker. He comes in with a good chance of making an immediate impact."


Ashes 2013/14

Australia 6/4
England evens
Drawn series 9/2

England to retain the Ashes 1/2

England to win 5-0 33/1

Australia to win 5-0 50/1

1st Test 

2/1 Australia
6/4 England
2/1 Draw

B Rankin to play in the 1st Test 5/2

M Panesar to play in the 1st Test 10/1

Top England Series Runscorer

A Cook 2/1
K Pietersen 7/2
I Bell 9/2
J Trott 9/2
J Root 5/1
J Bairstow 16/1
M Prior 20/1
M Carberry 20/1
G Ballance 20/1
B Stokes 33/1
S Broad 66/1
G Swann 150/1
Anderson 500/1
M Panesar 500/1
S Finn 500/1
B Rankin 500/1
C Tremlett 500/1

Top England series wicket-taker

Anderson 2/1
S Broad 9/4
S Finn 7/2
G Swann 7/2
B Rankin 10/1
C Tremlett 10/1
B Stokes 20/1

M Panesar 25/1

Make your pitch on this post...



Labels: , , , ,


Thursday, September 19, 2013

WAKE UP PAKISTAN !!!

No need to apologize, Moin Khan says of Pakistan's performance.

Nothing wrong with Misbah's captaincy, PCB Chief says.

Najam Sethi shrugs of Harare Humiliation

Mediocrity won't win you tests, Misbah tells batsmen

Those are the headlines that have appeared in Dawn, Pakistan's premier newspaper, over the past few days, following the defeat at the hands of Zimbabwe in the second test.

What message are Pakistan's Chairman of the cricket board, Manager of the cricket team, and Captain of the cricket team sending out to the public?

How can Moin Khan be unapologetic in a humiliating defeat? He needs to wake up and realize that it wasn't a loss to a South Africa or India or Australia, even though the latter will also be a humiliation in these days. Pakistan, who were among the top 4 test teams before the series began, lost to a team that was unranked before the conclusion of the series!

How can you not be apologetic?

How can Sethi sahab shrug off the defeat and say that nothing is wrong with the captaincy? How can the chairman not hold the captain, coach, manager, and players accountable for the defeat? Why is the Chairman or the other members of the board not questioning the players and support staff?

Is anyone even bothering to try and figure out cause of this embarrassing defeat?

How can Misbah talk about mediocrity? He himself is the Kingpin of Mediocrity!

A mediocre team is the result of our mediocre captain.

Yes I know Misbah is the best batsman we have and that he is the only one who scores and no one else supports him, but that doesn't mean that he is not mediocre himself. Scoring a ton of 50s and standing at the crease for umpteen hours does not make one a great player.

Misbah's inability to convert his 50s into big centuries, his inability to push the scoring rate, his inability to close games makes him mediocre.

And that makes his team mediocre.

Why aren't any of these people taking this defeat seriously?

No one would have imagined a troubled team to topple over one of the top four. Yet, Pakistan folded in front of good seam and swing bowling.

Zimbabwe should be given credit, but that does not mean that no one in the Pakistan cricket set up should be worried.

Moin Khan should have said "We apologize to the Pakistani fans for letting them down".

Najam Sethi should have said "It was an embarrassing defeat and we will look into it".

Misbah should have said "My captaincy was mediocre and the batsmen were not in touch."

Wake up Pakistanis, don't take this lightly!

Make your pitch on this post...



Labels: , , , ,


Sunday, September 15, 2013

Published in the Papers

While I have been quoted by British and Indian newspapers like the Daily Mail, Mid Day, The Times; have been mentioned on radio shows in the UK and New Zealand; have been regularly published by Pakistani and Indian websites like the Express Tribune, Sportskeeda, and Cricket Country; and have had articles published in several magazines, I had never had one of my articles published in a newspaper till a few days ago.

The Younis Khan statistical appreciation piece that I posted here was first published by the blogs section of the Express Tribune, and then it was published in the "Opinions" section of the print edition of the Express Tribune, dated 11th September 2013.

For the first time, in a newspaper.



Make your pitch on this post...



Labels: , ,


Monday, September 9, 2013

Younis Khan - A Legendary Match Winner

When Younis Khan helped Pakistan out of a precarious situation in Pakistan's second innings of the first test against Zimbabwe, you would have known that you were in for a Younis Khan special.

When it comes to test cricket, Younis Khan is arguably the best batsman Pakistan has produced. He always delivers when the team is in need, he is better than all when it comes to second innings performances, he saves tests, he wins tests, and he is a team man. 

Younis Khan's exploits and his relative standing compared to other batting greats of the game have been well documented on Well Pitched - here and here.

Now, I attempt to figure out where he stands among Pakistani batting greats, as well as the other modern batting greats, in matches away from home and as a match winner.

Performance Away from Home
Everyone can score at home on pitches they are familiar with and where they have spent batting their entire life. A true test of a batsman comes when he is placed in unfamiliar conditions and tested by an unknown environment that requires him to adapt appropriately.

Majority of the batsmen in this world have a better home record than an away record, but the great batsmen have as good an away record as their home record. That is what distinguishes the greats from the good.

Younis Khan's century in the first test against Zimbabwe was his 22nd. He is still behind Inzamam (25), Yousuf (24), and Miandad (23), but more importantly, it was his 15th century outside of Pakistan, overtaking Inzamam Ul Haq's record of 14 centuries away from home.

During his unbeaten double century against Zimbabwe, Younis Khan also became only the second Pakistani batsman to score 5,000 runs in test matches away from home. He is now only 66 runs away from Inzamam's record of 5,120 runs scored in tests played away from Pakistan.

Younis Khan also has the best away average among all Pakistani batsmen who have played at least 10 innings away from Pakistan.

I think this makes Younis the best batsman from Pakistan, at least when it comes to test matches in foreign conditions.

Younis' stacks up well among all test batsmen also when it comes to performing away from home. His away average of 49.54 is among the top 10 averages for batsmen who have scored at least 5,000 runs in tests away from home.


Performance in Wins
Another benchmark for great batsmen is how they perform in matches won by their team, or rather how many matches are won on the basis of the particular batsman's performance.

Sachin Tendulkar is notorious for scoring irrelevant centuries, i.e. those that do not help India win. It is a flawed statement but perceptions are hard to change. In contrast, Inzamam Ul Haq is popularly known as the biggest match winner produced by Pakistan as majority of his test centuries have resulted in Pakistan wins.

Inzamam is leaps and bounds ahead of any Pakistani batsmen when it comes to match winning performances, but Younis Khan also sits proudly at number 2 for Pakistan. Younis Khan is the second biggest match winning batsman produced by Pakistan.

Younis' match winning unbeaten 200 against Zimbabwe was his 10th test century in a win, equaling Javed Miandad's 10 test centuries in wins. While its far behind Inzamam's 17 centuries in test wins, Younis averages in the 70s like Inzamam does.

During the course of his double hundred, Younis Khan crossed 3,000 runs in test matches won by Pakistan. Among all batsmen who have scored at least 3,000 runs in matches won by their team, Younis has the 5th best average.

Younis Khan is a true match winner!

Performance in Wins Away from Home (excluding Zimbabwe and Bangladesh)
Many batsmen are often criticized for scoring easy runs on flat wickets at home or against weaker opposition. Considering this, I believe that the ultimate benchmark for a match winning batsman is the performance he has given in wins in tests played away from home against strong opposition.

Taking out Zimbabwe and Bangladesh from the analysis, Younis Khan comes out to be the best performer in tests won by Pakistan away from home, with a Bradmanesque average.
(Qualification: min 10 innings)

When compared to other batsmen around the world, Younis Khan has the 4th best average in tests wins away from home excluding matches against Zimbabwe and Bangladesh.

Among contemporary batsmen, only Alastair Cook has a better average than Younis Khan.
(Qualification: min 1,000 runs)

I believe that one can safely say that Younis Khan is not only one of the biggest match winners produced by Pakistan, but he is also one of the best match winning batsman in the world.

Note the kind of names missing from the above list - no Sachin, no Lara, no Ponting.

It really is a shame that Younis Khan has played only 25 test matches since the start of 2009. During the same period Alastair Cook has played 61 tests, Kevin Pietersen and Michael Clarke have played 54 each, and Sachin Tendulkar has played 42!

Can you even imagine where Younis Khan would be today if Pakistan played as many tests as Australia, England, or India?

He would have not only been Pakistan's leading scorer in tests, he would have been among the top 5 in the world!

Make your pitch on this post...



Labels: , , , , , , , , , , ,