Showing posts with label India. Show all posts
Showing posts with label India. Show all posts
Tuesday, June 13, 2017

ICC Champions Trophy SemiFinals: England, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh take us back to 1947

For the first time in an ICC event we have witnessed this intriguing semifinal line up comprising England, India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh.

The British ruled India for 89 years before partitioning British India into two independent countries: India and Pakistan in 1947.

While we are pondering over historical relevance, let us also take the liberty to derive an analogy to what happened in 1947.

England left, Bangladesh was non existent, and Pakistan got its way over India.

You see what I just did there?

I can truly feel it.

Let us take a look at what are the chances of the four teams.

INDIA
India is one of the most successful teams in Champions Trophy history. This is the 5th time that they have made it to the Champions Trophy semifinal. Out of the previous 4 occasions, they managed to reach the final thrice. They lost the Final to New Zealand in 2000; shared the trophy with Sri Lanka in 2002, and beat England in the previous edition in 2013.

In Rohit Sharma and Shikhar Dhawan, they have the best opening pair in ODI cricket at the moment, and probably of all time too. In a very short period of time, they have notched up 10 century opening partnerships, which is the 5th most by an opening pair in the history of ODI cricket.

Among the leading pairs, they have the third best average; and they are the only pair that puts on a century partnership on average every 6th inning.


In Virat Kohli, they undoubtedly have the best ODI batsman in the world. The ICC rankings confirm that fact. I truly believe he is the best ODI batsman the world has ever seen.

On top of all that they also have one of the best hitters in the game - Yuvraj - and the best finisher in the game - MS Dhoni.

Such a strong batting line up can chase any total thrown at them. 300, 350, 375 nothing will be enough for this team.

Bowling is their weaker suit, yet it is stronger than what it used to be historically. They may struggle defending totals, however I don't see Bangladesh going past this juggernaut.

BANGLADESH
This team has been all about resurgence. Forever the minnows of the Test Nations, Bangladesh finally find themselves competing with the big boys.

Since the World Cup 2015, they have won 17 of their 31 ODIs and lost only 11. They are currently going through their best period in ODIs.

This is the first time in cricket history that Bangladesh have reached the semifinal of an ICC tournament. It is a big achievement for them.

They were lucky to steal a point of Australia due to the rain, but they may have qualified anyway considering that all three - Australia, New Zealand, and Bangladesh - would have been on 2 points had rain stayed away. Who knows who would have qualified based on Net Run Rate, but Bangladesh can't be denied this moment.

Their chase against New Zealand was quite unbelievable given that it came with their backs against the wall at 12-3 and 33-4. It was a remarkable turnaround, just like their overall cricket competitiveness has been.

Tamim Iqbal is the third highest run scorer in the Champions Trophy, while Shakib is also among the top 10.


Their batting is their stronger suit, but it is their bowling that has improved in leaps and bounds. The young Mustafizur Rahman is among the best young pacers around currently; his guile along with the pace of Rubel Hossain and Taskin Ahmed is a potent combination.

Mustafizur has the second best strike rate in ODI cricket history among all bowlers that have taken at least 40 wickets.


Despite their resurgence, and rising stars like Tamim, Shakib, and Mustafizur, I just can't see them toppling the mighty Indians.

ENGLAND
The pre-tournament favorites and hosts have their own resurgence story. England's turnaround in ODI cricket has been absolutely remarkable. Since being denied a place in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup 2015 by Bangladesh, England have truly transformed as an ODI unit and they are currently the best team in the format in my opinion.


Since that World Cup 2015, England have:

won more ODIs than any other team.
the best W:L ratio; only team with a W:L>2.
the highest batting average in ODIs.
the highest scoring rate in ODIs; only team with RPO>6.
scored the highest total in an ODI innings.

Their entire batting line up comprises attacking stroke makers. Each and every one of them bats aggressively and scores at an alarming pace. Joe Root is arguably one of the best batsman in international cricket currently, and Ben Stokes is not far behind.

Their bowling is also top notch; they have pace and swing in the form of Wood, Plunkett, and Ball; and they have the spin of Adil Rashid, who is the leading wicket taker in ODIs since World Cup 2015.


On the previous two occasions that the Champions Trophy was played in England, the host nation reached the final both times. In 2004 they were beaten by the West Indies; while in the previous edition in 2013 they were beaten by India.

England are the only team that has been unbeaten so far in this tournament. This will be their fourth Champions Trophy semifinal and it will take a gargantuan effort to derail this juggernaut.

PAKISTAN
What does one say about Pakistan that has not been said already. Unpredictable, mercurial, disjointed, temperamental, are adjectives that have been commonly used to describe this team. Their Champions Trophy campaign so far can also be described using the same adjectives.

For most it is a bigger surprise to see Pakistan in the semifinals than it is to see Bangladesh.

They are the lowest ranked team in this Champions Trophy.
Their batsmen play like it is the 1980s.
They have one of the worst W:L ratio since World Cup 2015.
They have the lowest run rate in first 10 overs of ODIs.

Pakistan's lack of ability to play modern day cricket is well documented and one can't really read into the historical performance of a team that blows hot and cold as frequently as Pakistan does.

While they were atrocious against India, they put up a clinical performance against South Africa. In the must-win game against Sri Lanka, they showed why all those adjectives are used for them. They went from good to bad to excellent to bad to good in that one game.

This will be Pakistan's fourth Champions Trophy semifinal; twice they have been denied a place in the final by New Zealand and once by West Indies.

It is really anybody's guess as to what is in store for them this time around. They will have to play completely out of their skin to beat the hosts who are also the tournament favorites.

But they can take some inspiration from the match 10 months ago that took place at the same venue as their semifinal where they successfully chased 302 against England with 10 deliveries to spare.

However, if they are to compete against England they will need a change in personnel and a complete turnaround of intent.

It is going to be tough. Very tough. But I can feel it.

I have a very strong feeling that it will be a final to die for where PAKISTAN will take on INDIA for the first time ever in a final of an ICC ODI tournament.

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Sunday, December 20, 2009

Afghanistan's second chance, and other T20 2010 stuff

We all know the recent fairytale story of Afghanistan. From World Cricket League's Division 5 (extremely low echelons), to falling just one victory short of qualification for the 2011 World Cup, yet gaining official ODI status.

Now Afghanistan has its second chance to make its mark among in the big leagues. They are scheduled to play the World T20 qualifiers in UAE in February 2010. And guess who's in their group? Why, none other that the US of A! Isn't that convenient??? So that should be exciting.

The winner of the tournament will be placed in the South Africa/India group, and the runner-up will be placed in the West Indies and England group.

And speaking of the T20 2010 World Cup, if anyone in North America is thinking of going for a short trip, I would suggest the following weekend in St. Lucia:

Sat May 1st, India vs Qualifying Champions
Sat May 1st, Pakistan vs Bangladesh

Sun May 2nd, India vs South Africa
Sun May 2nd, Pakistan vs Australia

That's a pretty action-packed weekend, and Pak-India fans are GUARANTEED to see their teams in action, even if they aren't playing each other. Unlike when so many of us (me included) got burned in 2007! I mean, no disrespect to the Bangladesh and Ireland teams, but we were expecting, ahem, other teams to play! :)

It's just a weekend trip, so it should be doable for a lot of people from a schedule perspective. I am strongly thinking about making the trip. But being back in school, I have finals at that time, so I have to take that into consideration. Let's see.

But wouldn't it be awesome if Afghanistan won the qualifiers? Ind vs Afghanistan, followed by Pak vs Bangladesh. Regional pride!!!

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Wednesday, September 30, 2009

Wonder what Kirsten's advice is after India's exit

Apologies for the crudeness, but this just had to be posted!

NEW DELHI, India — Gary Kirsten, the coach of India's cricket team, has some advice for his players:

Have sex before matches, boys. And if no partner is available, then "go solo." It says so, right in the team's training manual leaked to Indian media.

“From a psychological perspective, having sex increased testosterone levels, which causes an increase in strength, energy, aggression and competitiveness,” the manual reads in pseudoscientific jargonese.

More here: http://www.globalpost.com/dispatch/india/090929/india-sex-cricket-masturbation

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Saturday, June 13, 2009

Pakistan, India, Bhai-Bhai*

Rayden, a regular reader of Well Pitched, left the following comment in a previous post; It was too good to leave it buried in the comments section, hence I'm reproducing it here.

"India-Pak: Bhai - Bhai. Either we lose to minnows in the first round together, or we go to the finals together, or we lose in the Super 8s together"

One doesn't want to leave the other behind it seems.

*Bhai = Brother

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Friday, June 12, 2009

Hot, Not, and need to be Rethought!

Back in 2007, I wrote a (somewhat emotional) post on another blog I run. It was about my thoughts after the heart-gutting T20 WC final. You can read it in its entirety here.

In that post, I put together a list of things to note from what was then a first-of-a-kind tournament. Here's that list:

  • Four things that are hot: field-placing strategy, spinners, net-run-rate, and illegal Internet video streams.

  • Four things that need a rethink: free-hits (although no-balls have gone down!), Ian Bishop, bowl-outs, and the ODI World Cup format.

  • Four things that are hot no longer: England, fast bowlers at the death, drinks breaks, and Shoaib Akhtar.

I'm beginning my list for this year's tournament. Here are my first entries:

Two things that are hot: slow bouncers, Pak spinners.

One thing that needs a rethink: single-digit over matches.

One thing that is hot no longer: Afridi's batting.

Will add to the list over the course of the tournament.

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Pakistan to play India in World Twenty20 this weekend!

Yes, it is true! The two teams will meet on Saturday. In the ICC World Twenty20. I'm not kidding.

Oh, maybe you are confused. I forgot to specify one minor detail - it's in the women's World Twenty20!

Yes, the women of Pakistan and India will battle it out on Saturday June 13th in a group game. I'm sure there will be a decent crowd and some passionate competition. It doesn't matter what sport it is, what gender is taking part, what time of the day it is. If it's India vs Pakistan competing in pithoo*, patang baazi**, or kabbadi, it will surely entertain!

I remember an U-15 World Cup final in 1996 at Lords between Pakistan and India that became incredibly intense. Pak supporters even (shamefully) stormed the field once India was about to win!

So if you are in England and are missing the thrill of a Pakistan-India showdown, you have an option. And at the same time you can help give a much needed boost to women's cricket, especially since they are given practically no recognition in South Asia. Enjoy!

*: a game in which several flat stones are piled up, and teams take turns knocking them down and trying to put them back up. Loads of fun!

**: kite fighting.

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Wednesday, June 10, 2009

A Look at Group E of the World T20 Super 8s

India, South Africa, England, West Indies

These are the teams that make up Group E of the ICC World Twenty20.

In which world is it fair that 3 teams, that topped their groups in round 1, end up in the same group in the next round?

The ICC World apparently.

Here's a look at the 4 teams.

India, started the tournament as favorites and surely look like one.

The absence of Sehwag has made no difference to their explosive batting line up; Rohit Sharma has been as attacking, if not more, than Sehwag.

Gambhir has come back to form thanks to Pakistan; Yuvraj is in his element; but the rest of the batting may be a slight worry.

Dhoni has not worked at 3, Raina has not had any substantial outings, while YP has continued his lack of form since the IPL and has looked more like Afridi with every innings.

Their bowling, on the other hand, has been top stuff. Ishant and Zaheer are one of the best fast bowling pairs going around, while the strategy to play 2 spinners in Harbajhan and Ojha has worked wonders.

I don't see them having any trouble getting past England and West Indies; though South Africa will give them tough competition.

Q's Call: Played 3, Won 2, Lost 1


South Africa, the other favorites tipped to win the cup by many.

Smith, Kallis, Gibbs, De Villiers, Duminy, A. Morkel, Boucher, Van Der Merwe to me is the strongest batting line up in the World T20. Even stronger than India's.

Moreover, they are all in form.

On the bowling front, Steyn has been in top gear; Parnell has done a wonderful job; Ntini has hardly been missed.

Botha and VD have executed the spin duties exceptionally well and provide the variety to their attack that has been non-existent in the past.

They will be the toughest to beat in this Group, but since they are the eternal chokers, I see a surprise for them in store from the West Indies.

Q's Call: Played 3, Won 2, Lost 1


England, the ones that lost to the Dutch

Their win against Pakistan was more about how Pakistan played rather than how they did.

Wright, Bopara, KP, and Shah have shown good aggressive signs with the bat but it won't be enough in front of the likes of India, South Africa, and a Chris Gayle looking to prove a point to England.

Their bowling is hardly the sort that would trouble any of them.

I don't see them winning a single game in the Super 8s.

Q's Call: Played 3, Won 0, Lost 3


West Indies, the dark horses (no pun intended) that crashed Australia's party,

Their fate depends heavily on Chris Gayle. If he fires they will be hard to beat; if he fails they will be pushovers.

Gayle typically fires once in 3 tries, but England will be an exception since he has a point to prove.

His 1 out 3 innings aggression will come at the expense of the South Africa, just because such is their luck.

Taylor and Edwards hold the key to their bowling but they are as capable of being slapped around as they are at picking up wickets.

Benn should have been a key bowler for them but surprisingly he has failed to up a wicket yet.

Q's Call: Played 3, Won 2, Lost 1


So then, who makes the semi finals from here?

My call before the tournament began was India and South Africa.

My calls here mean that they, along with the West Indies, will end up on the same number of points; hence the net run rate will determine who qualifies.

When that happens, we can be sure that South Africa will manage to mess it up and not qualify.

NOTE: My Calls stand at 8-3, Wrong to Right as of now

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1116 runs to get? At 64.38 runs an over?

Damn, Ireland have set a tough target for India!

See attached unedited screenshot from Cricinfo (click for large version):


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Sunday, May 24, 2009

Pakistan misses out on yet another party

So the Champions League has been scheduled for India in October. The tournament will include 12 teams. A country that will be notably unrepresented? Pakistan!
Last year's IPL finalists Rajasthan Royals and Chennai Super Kings will not be eligible. Sialkot Stallions, the winners of Pakistan's domestic Twenty20 tournament, will not feature as originally scheduled because their government has restricted travel to India.

"Unfortunately, the Pakistan government won't give them clearance to come to India, and since yesterday was out cut-off date, it's not possible to have a team from Pakistan this year," said Modi. "Delhi Daredevils this year have highest points from the league. But from next year, the third team from India will be decided from a play-off between the two losing semi-finalists."
[LINK]

It's bad enough that Pakistan players aren't in the IPL this year. But this really takes the cake! How does Pakistan manage to deny these players such a great opportunity!

This is not a PCB decision - it's a Pak govt thing. This was in response to the Mumbai attacks / Mohammad Asif's detention in Delhi in January.

Whatever the reasons, Pak govt should have rethunk it. I know they have their hands full with more important issues. But PCB/govt should have been proactive on this.

Pakistan is suffering so much already from a dearth of cricket. This just makes things so much worse!

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Friday, April 24, 2009

Is it really that super?

I think I am OK with the Super Over from a mechanics perspective. It's basically like overtime in other sports. No problems there, it's a good idea.

My issue is with the match logistics and result. If the Super Over is a tie-breaker, then it should do exactly that - break the tie!

Yet, The result of the RR and KKR match stands as a tie, but Royals are awarded two points since they won the Super Over.

Two comments:

1) Why do we need a tie-breaker in this situation? Why not share the points - one point to each team? Unless you have a situation where a result is needed (e.g. a semi-final, final, knockout game, etc), there should be no Super Over. In ODIs, a tie is a tie. So, as Marc Anthony would say, let it be with T20.

2) If you have the Super Over, then Why can't the match be marked as a win for the team that wins it? This is not just IPL who has this problem, it's ICC as well. It happened in the T20 WC tied match between Pak and India. Match is still officially a tie, with India getting 2 points for winning the bowlout. Same with the recent NZ and WI match which went to a Super Over. Though it was made clear that the Super Over was for entertainment only, since there's no official ICC rule on tie-breakers.

In summary, Super Over makes sense if you need a result. But otherwise it seems to be pointless entertainment.

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Thursday, February 26, 2009

The Caste System in Cricket

I really could not believe this when I read it:
The Indian board faces an embarrassing situation after letting Sachin Tendulkar appear for a Masters Twenty20 match in Wellington on Friday where he will play alongside Hamish Marshall, the former New Zealand batsman who featured in the unauthorised ICL last year.

...

Niranjan Shah, the Indian team's manager in New Zealand, said the BCCI would take up the issue with Justin Vaughan, the NZC chief executive. "No Indian player will play for a team that has an ICL player," Shah said. About Marshall, Shah said that it "would not be a problem" if the batsman is no longer an ICL player.
[LINK]

For goodness sakes! This is an exhibition match with no official recognition! Are the ICL players classified as untouchables now? Grow up BCCI, seriously grow up. Start thinking slightly beyond the DLF maximums and Citi moments of success,* and realize that players are humans, not just contracts. The fact that this is even an issue is just reflective of the sad state of affairs in cricket, and indicative of the corporate shill that BCCI has become.

I know the BCCI is all-powerful at this point, but turning that power into arrogance is going to cost them dearly in the long run.


* Isn't it slightly ironic that Citi, a company that is so involved in the financial disaster, should sponsor "moments of success!" ;)

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Tuesday, February 17, 2009

And so begins the mess....

...that will be the 2011 World Cup. A few months back I had cast my doubts on Pakistan's participation as a host country. The ICC chief seems to be laying down the groundwork for that eventuality:
"It [alternate venues] is a consideration we have to give attention to," Lorgat said at a meeting in New Delhi on Tuesday to discuss preparations for the tournament. "This is not something we discussed today, except to ask the organisers to consider alternate host city venues within the country as well as alternate country venues in the event something is not favourable in one of the particular host countries."

I'm not surprised really - I expected this to happen.

Regardless of Pakistan's hosting status, I am very uninterested in the 2011 World Cup. Mainly because I think the World Cup format is pathetic this time round (once again we have too many teams and too many meaningless games, and are going back to the terrible quarter-final format). But also because there are too many host countries, and the preparations are at least a year behind schedule. It's a disaster waiting to happen. But I will be happy to be proven wrong.

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Wednesday, December 10, 2008

Hollow Words?

The British Foreign Secretary (David Miliband) said the following regarding the England tour of India:
"Because it reaches out to India which has been wronged; because it shows confidence and commitment; and because it says terrorism will not win."

Excellent statement. Bravo Mr. Miliband! That's the way to go.

However, it makes things a lot more confusing when teams continue not to tour Pakistan.

I'm the first to admit that touring Pakistan is not ideal. And I'm all for England to go to India, and I'm excited about the Commonwealth Games in Delhi in 2010, etc.

But it's becoming a fairly obvious and unapologetic double standard with regard to touring Pakistan. Osman Samiuddin has written an interesting article on Cricinfo today around this topic. Worth a read.

The ICC is digging a deep hole for itself. It has not set any standards, nor has it addressed any precedent. Remember, security was not officially an issue for the Champions Trophy - it was the teams/players that were not comfortable touring on their own hunch, and the ICC decided to "postpone" (read cancel) it.

The infusion of statements from government (like that of Miliband) further compounds the situation. So is the UK govt admitting that terrorists won when the Champions Trophy in Pakistan was postponed?

It's not just bullets and bombs that will thwart terrorists. Bats and balls could have an even greater impact and provide a lot of hope. Whether it's the UK, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, or anywhere else on earth.

(PS: If you want to leave hostile/political/jingoistic comments, please leave them on some other blog - there are plenty out there. This blog is for reasonable discussion only.)

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Friday, November 21, 2008

Does anyone care about 2011?

A couple of weeks back, it was reported that preparations for the 2011 World Cup are 10 months behind schedule.

Now, that in itself is a bit unsettling, especially since this needs to be coordinated between four countries. But it gets more interesting.

Let's add into the mix the fact that only Asian teams have been willing to play in Pakistan, and this trend is unlikely to change (or sadly, get even worse). If Pakistan's involvement as a 2011 host is questioned, expect Pakistan not to send a team to participate, and cause havoc with the organizing.

And then throw in the whole ICL situation. With Miandad and Ranatunga showing some flexibility with regards to ICL players, I can only imagine that the BCCI will be none too thrilled. Beware a BCCI scorned! And isn't Miandad banned from going to India anyway?

Finally, how about the fact that the last two World Cups have been pretty lackluster. You've had a few good matches for sure, but they have generally failed to live up to their billing by miles.

So what does that mean for 2011? Does anyone even care about the ODI World Cup anymore? I certainly have lost respect for it since they pointlessly continue to include so many teams. And then the format for 2011 is horrific - as I have previously ranted about on another blog.

Honestly, if the World Cup was to be canceled, or shifted to Australia (which really should have been the original bid), or moved to India alone (I'm not a fan of joint bids at in any sport), I think it would make little difference to me. The tournament has lost its original glory. Like with any cricket, I will get involved when it comes around. But till then I will probably be mostly indifferent.

I'm looking more forward to the Twenty20 World Cup, not because I am abandoning ODI cricket for T20I, but mainly because they are so much more sensible about the format. Not sure why the ICC can't use its lessons from T20I into ODI, but nothing about the ICC shocks me anymore.

2011 is a long way away, but the path to there seems to be pretty rocky. Let's hope they smooth out.

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Thursday, November 20, 2008

India Shining

The team - yes. The city of Kanpur - no.

Today's ODI between England and India ended in slightly strange circumstances as bad light abruptly ended play early, and India won on D/L. This is nowhere near the farcical end of the WC final, but it does bring into light (no pun intended) a few things.

First, the match was delayed by 45 minutes, yet only one over was cut from each team. I've heard of slow over rates, but 22.5 minutes per over??? C'mon!

Second, the lunch break was untouched at 35 minutes. Look, I know the players need a break. But think about it, the previously-batting-now-bowling team is pretty well rested and is probably ready to field. And only a few players on the other side would be affected. It's not like this would apply to all matches, but just ones where there's a delay. Now, ICC has a rule about lunch break being affected only if 60 minutes or more are lost. I say this - make that a guideline, and allow the captains to decide before the game starts (or once light/weather become a factor).

Third, there were lights at the stadium. OK, these are not certified ICC/BCCI lights and maybe that's enough to exclude their usage in this specific match. But, in general, lights should be used when they can be. Per this Cricinfo article, the captains decide on playing conditions before a series (which includes use of lights). Maybe the ICC should make it a rule - i.e. use lights when they exist.

I like D/L, I think it ends up being fair, and credit to India for keeping D/L in their sights. My issue is not with D/L at all, it's with how playing times are affected by weather/light. So, what's the solution? Should games like this go into the next day? Should lights be used whenever possible? Should lunch break go away? Should matches in stadiums without lights require a half-hour earlier start? A combination of all I guess. Let's hope the ICC will start thinking - hey, miracles can happen!.

(Sidenote: I also think that playing cricket in North India in late November is not the best idea. I know there's a whole rotation system, but give preference to central/southern cities in winter tours, and northern cities in fall/spring tours. There are enough grounds to go around.)

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Thursday, July 24, 2008

An Impressive Debut

So, Cricket's much anticipated referral system got underway today in the first Test of the ongoing Sri Lanka - India series.

In summary...both the batsman and the captain of the fielding side are allowed to ask for a referral (aka challenge, review). Each team gets three unsuccessful challenges per innings (there is no limit on successful challenges). The third umpire looks at a few replays to determine whether there is enough to overturn the on-field umpire's decision. Use of Hawkeye or anything like that is not allowed (which is fine).

There were three referrals done today, with the second one a perfect example of why referrals are a great idea:

45.4: Harbhajan to Warnapura. LBW appeal turned down by on-field umpire. Kumble refers to third umpire, who agrees with on-field umpire's decision. Challenge was unsuccessful.

105.3: Zaheer to Dilshan. Dilshan given out caught behind. Dilshan challenges it. Third umpire overrules on-field umpire's decision! Challenge was successful.

119.1: Harbhajan to Dilshan. LBW appeal turned down by on-field umpire. Kumble refers to third umpire, who agrees with on-field umpire's decision. Challenge was unsuccessful.

Of course, there are innumerable pros which are fairly obvious. But I'll mention a couple of potential issues I see with this system...first, there is the time delay factor - how much will this referral system impact a sport that is already so pressed for time (yes, even five days aren't enough! ;-). Second, what is the time limit to challenge a decision? You want to avoid pavilion involvement, i.e. you don't want the supporting cast to see a replay and then signal accordingly to the on-field players. As long as a player decides to challenge within 10-15 seconds, it should be ok.

Overall though, a great idea, and a much-needed relief for players, umpires, and fans. This cricket fan, for one, is extremely excited. Let's hear it for Technology! And, we all take our shots at them all the time, so let's give them a rare moment of appreciation...kudos to you, ICC, for pressing on with this system despite less than welcoming attitudes from many in the cricketing world, and a failed trial in domestic cricket.

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Wednesday, July 23, 2008

It's About Time!

A big day of cricket is about to begin. As India take on Sri Lanka in the first test, the eyes of the cricket world will be on the trial of the new referral system (Tendulkar's potential record-breaking innings notwithstanding).

I, for one, am very much in favour of the system. Cricket has been at the forefront of technology - from replays for runouts, to Duckworth-Lewis. So why not take the next logical step, especially when it's fairly easy to do so?

Per the system, there will be three referrals per team per innings = 24 potential referrals per match. Now that could mean a lot of time dedicated to referrals, but we'll have to wait to see whether teams actually take advantage of the system.

Many sports have headed the direction of replays. Tennis, NFL, etc. Baseball is planning to get replays as well. Football/soccer definitely should have it to, at least for goals that were declared offside.

Here are some interesting comments regarding the cricket referral system, some favorable, others more skeptical.

I do wonder who will be the first referred dismissal (or non-dismissal). Could it be Sachin Tendulkar, the man who was the first player to be given run-out by a TV umpire?

Like any new system, there will be success and failure, and the system will adapt over time. So let's accept any failures as a learning process, and cherish the successes as a much needed step in the right direction.

To referrals...cheers!

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Wednesday, July 2, 2008

Carry For...What?

I just realized that India and Sri Lanka got 2 carry-forward points each from the group stage. My simple reaction was...WTF??? Why???

CF points are normally used in lieu of playing the same team again in the next stage. But in this tournament, each team plays each other again anyway. What were the organizers smoking when they put the rules together???

So thanks to the pointless CF points, Sri Lanka has to beat India for Pakistan to have a chance (assuming Pakistan beat Bangladesh). Without CF, even if India beat Sri Lanka, it would come down to NRR between Pakistan, India, Sri Lanka (again, assuming Pakistan beat Bangladesh).

Last time it was some obscure bonus point that screwed Pakistan. This time it very well could be CF points.

However, if you do look at it from the angle that CF points were carried forward and the relevant teams didn't play each other again, then you'd have the following situation after today's match:

SL: 4
Ind: 2
Pak: 0
Ban: 0

So in that way, SL would have to beat India anyway for Pakistan to have a chance.

Regardless, I think the best would be to have everyone play each other as happened, but no CF points. Combining the two makes no sense.

grumble...mumble...

Make your pitch on this post...



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Tuesday, June 24, 2008

Analysis of World Twenty20 2009 Groups

Let me caveat this post right up front. THERE ARE HUGE ASSUMPTIONS I AM USING!!! I have been burned by this before (WC 2007), but apparently I have not learned my lesson.

OK, now I will proceed. In a previous post, I posted the schedule for the 2009 World Twenty20 in England next June. The groups were actually decided many months back, but I never really looked at them until now. So here's a basic analysis.

First off, just like the ODI WC 2007 (and I believe the previous T20 WC as well), teams are assigned a "seeding" which they carry with them into the (poorly termed) "Super-8s".

e.g. Pakistan are B1 in the group stage. They will be B1 for Super-8 purposes too. If one of the seeded teams is knocked out (now, would that ever happen???), then the team that qualifies in its place assumes its seeding. e.g. if West Indies qualify instead of Sri Lanka, they will assume Sri Lanka's seeding of C2.

Logistically, this is pretty good. Competitively, this is not a really great idea. Unlike in the ODI WC 2007, all Super-8 teams will not end up playing each other. So it could be that one Super-8 pool is composed of all second place teams from the group stage, and the other is composed of all first place teams.

Anyhow, here are the initial groups and the "seedings":

GROUP A
A1 India
A2 Bangladesh
A3 Zimbabwe

GROUP B
B1 Pakistan
B2 England
B3 Associate1

GROUP C
C1 Australia
C2 Sri Lanka
C3 West Indies

GROUP D
D1 New Zealand
D2 South Africa
D3 Associate2

Now, the Super-8 groups are already fixed too, and they are:

GROUP E
A1
B2
C1
D2

GROUP F
A2
B1
C2
D1

Using basic algebra, AND ASSUMING THAT THERE ARE NO MASSIVE UPSETS (wow, this sounds so familiar!), this is what the Super-8 groups will look like:

GROUP E
India
England
Australia/West Indies
South Africa

GROUP F
Bangladesh/Zimbabwe
Pakistan
Sri Lanka/West Indies
New Zealand

Obviously, Group E is the tougher group. IF (and the "if" is capitalized and bolded for serious emphasis) Pakistan make it to the Super-8s, they could potentially get to the semis without ever playing Australia, South Africa, or India.

Lucky for Pakistan (hey, I shouldn't complain), but not so great from a competition perspective. Given that all the Super-8 matches are in London itself (albeit different grounds), they should have made Super-8 groups based on standings at the end of the group stage. So two first placed teams, and two second placed teams in each group. That would have made more sense.

BTW, many of the second round matches are double headers, so you could, get to see matches like India vs Australia, and Pakistan vs Sri Lanka/West Indies on the same ground, same day.

Once again, please take into account the assumptions I have made. Pakistan and India have shocked and pissed off their fans before - I know this way too well!. They can do it again!

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